All proposalsEDM / TBL / DET

EDM, TBL and DET trade

cw_user_jj07nthhNov 2, 2026
43%
chance it happens

Model says DET says no.

Vote below to see if readers agree.

EDM65%to acceptSays yes

$3.03Mcap space after

TBL44%to acceptSays no

$3.41Mover the cap

DET43%to acceptSays no

$30.69Mcap space after

Who says no?

11 votes

Analysis

Detroit is the likeliest holdout: Savoie and Edmonton’s 2029 first are meaningful pieces, but the package is light for Larkin unless his suspension and no-trade clause sharply limit the market. Edmonton could justify the price for a retained Kucherov in its Cup window; Tampa Bay has a harder call because Larkin and the picks keep it competitive, but trading its best scorer in November is a major gamble.

Assets

EDMReceives-$161,667
  • Nikita Kucherov
    Nikita Kucherov25% retained
    RW33$7,125,0001 yr, UFAfromTBL
    2025-26: 76 GP, 44 G, 86 A, 130 P
TBLReceives+$6,165,000
  • Zach Hyman
    Zach Hyman
    LW34$5,500,0002 yrs, UFAfromEDM
    2025-26: 58 GP, 31 G, 21 A, 52 P
  • 2027 2nd round pick
    fromEDM
  • 2028 1st round pick
    fromEDM
  • 2030 2nd round pick
    fromEDM
  • Dylan Larkin
    Dylan Larkin
    C30$8,700,0005 yrs, UFAfromDET
    2025-26: 74 GP, 34 G, 33 A, 67 P
DETReceives-$6,003,333
  • Matthew Savoie
    Matthew Savoie
    C22$886,6671 yr, RFAfromEDM
    2025-26: 82 GP, 18 G, 19 A, 37 P
  • Owen Michaels
    Owen Michaels
    RW24$900,0002 yrs, RFAfromEDM
    Drafted , #- overall
  • 2029 1st round pick
    fromEDM
  • Dominic James
    Dominic James
    C24$910,0001 yr, RFAfromTBL
    2025-26: 43 GP, 7 G, 8 A, 15 P

Why the model says so

Kucherov gives Edmonton a major scoring upgrade at a retained cap hit, but two firsts, two seconds and Savoie make this a steep price for a pending UFA.

Larkin, Hyman and Edmonton’s 2028 first offer a way to stay competitive, but Tampa Bay would lose its 130-point winger while taking on Hyman’s injury risk and retaining salary.

Savoie and the 2029 first lead a useful futures package, but Detroit would give up its top center without getting a comparable young centerpiece back. Larkin’s suspension and no-trade clause make a discounted return more plausible, not automatic.

The deal

Edmonton Oilers acquire Nikita Kucherov (25% retained) from the Tampa Bay Lightning; Tampa Bay Lightning acquire Zach Hyman, a 2027 2nd-round pick (EDM), a 2028 1st-round pick (EDM) and a 2030 2nd-round pick (EDM) from the Edmonton Oilers and Dylan Larkin from the Detroit Red Wings; Detroit Red Wings acquire Matthew Savoie, Owen Michaels and a 2029 1st-round pick (EDM) from the Edmonton Oilers and Dominic James from the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Team by team

EDM

Edmonton gets an elite playmaker for its Cup run: Kucherov had 130 points last season and would count $7.125 million against its cap after Tampa Bay’s one-season retention. Hyman’s $5.5 million cap hit comes off Edmonton’s books, but the Oilers still need room for the difference; they also give up two firsts, two seconds, Savoie and Michaels for a player who can become a UFA after this season.

TBL

Tampa Bay replaces Kucherov with Larkin, a 30-year-old center who scored 34 goals last season and has five seasons left at $8.7 million per year. Hyman adds scoring but is on injured reserve, while Tampa Bay retains $2.375 million on Kucherov this season; Detroit, meanwhile, gets a 2029 first and former No. 9 pick Savoie, currently on LTIR, plus Michaels and James, but no established replacement for Larkin.

Discussion1

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cw_user_jj07nthh

Detroit retains the 25% of Kucherov (wouldn't let me do that) Tampa sends down a few players and they are cap compliant